backtesting
Backtesting Ethereum: How Often Does ETH Drop 5% in a Day?
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While working with the TerraM trading bot, I conducted a backtest to quantify the frequency of significant daily drawdowns over the past 365 days (May 4, 2025 – May 3, 2026). Specifically, I analyzed how often the daily price change exceeded -5% or more. The results are notable.
The dataset is based on historical price data sourced from CoinMarketCap, with calculations performed in Google Sheets. Daily performance was measured as the percentage change between the open and close prices.
Out of 365 trading days—reflecting the continuous nature of crypto markets—194 days closed…