trading bot
Backtesting Ethereum: How Often Does ETH Drop 5% in a Day?
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While working with the TerraM trading bot, I conducted a backtest to quantify the frequency of significant daily drawdowns over the past 365 days (May 4, 2025 – May 3, 2026). Specifically, I analyzed how often the daily price change exceeded -5% or more. The results are notable.
The dataset is based on historical price data sourced from CoinMarketCap, with calculations performed in Google Sheets. Daily performance was measured as the percentage change between the open and close prices.
Out of 365 trading days—reflecting the continuous nature of crypto markets—194 days closed…
Ep 117: Bitcoin Death Cross Worries Grow as TerraM Fund Drops Further
| 84 seen
As of November 14, 2025, the value of the TerraM Multi-Asset Crypto Options Fund has declined by another -11.97%. Our drawdown has reached a new low of –50.58% in just a few weeks — a striking reminder of how quickly conditions can deteriorate. Even though most indicators are washed out and a recovery could be near, we remain cautious and do not rule out further downside. We still hope to be wrong.
There is one major event worrying us: a death cross on the Bitcoin chart. In fact, it’s not just potential it’s looking increasingly inevitable.
A death cross occurs when the…